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Tropics: Fay forecast remains uncertain, but close for SW Florida

Staff and wire reports
Originally published 12:49 p.m., Friday, August 15, 2008
Updated 8:22 p.m., Saturday, August 16, 2008

The five-day forecast for Tropical Storm Fay at 8 p.m. Saturday, Aug. 16, from the National Hurricane Center in Miami.

NOAA

The five-day forecast for Tropical Storm Fay at 8 p.m. Saturday, Aug. 16, from the National Hurricane Center in Miami.

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Forecasters warned that Tropical Storm Fay could bring hurricane-force winds to the Florida Keys as soon as Monday. As of the 5 p.m. update from the National Hurricane Center, the storm could be west of Naples on Tuesday morning, packing winds up to 84 mph or stronger.

Click here for the latest series of computer forecast track models from weatherunderground.com.

Click here for the latest update from the National Hurricane center, including storm watch and warning areas.

Fay could hit as a Category 1 or 2 hurricane, with winds perhaps reaching more than 100 mph, forecasters said Saturday, stressing that it was too early to tell how intense the storm would become. In anticipation, Gov. Charlie Crist declared a state of emergency for the state.

Hurricane forecasters put the storm 73 miles northwest of Naples at 2 p.m. on Tuesday, placing the storm off the Naples coast just before 10 a.m.

Flooding from Fay killed two people and left two children missing in Haiti and the Dominican Republic, authorities said Saturday. Forecasters said Fay could reach hurricane strength when it approaches central Cuba on Sunday, and the government there issued a hurricane watch for several provinces.

The National Hurricane Center in Miami reported that as of 2 p.m. EDT, the storm's center was about 50 miles southeast of Guantanamo, Cuba. It had maximum sustained winds of 45 mph. To become a hurricane, sustained winds must be at least 74 mph.

Florida's emergency management and county officials were monitoring the storm, and the city of Key West planned to open its emergency operation center Saturday.

Meteorologist Christopher Juckins said residents should be prepared for a hurricane. A Category 1 has winds from 74-95 mph and a Category 2 has winds from 96-110 mph.

"The official track brings it off the west coast of Florida Tuesday and Wednesday, however, the track is always uncertain and the entire peninsula of Florida needs to pay attention to the storm," said Juckins of the Hurricane Center.

Juckins said if the storm veers to the east, it could pass over the Miami area early Tuesday.

However, if it tracks farther west and remains over the Gulf of Mexico, it would hit landfall farther north and later in the week.

State officials in Tallahassee plan to activate the emergency operations center Monday, said Blair Heusdens, a spokeswoman for the state's Division of Emergency Management.

Fay is the sixth storm to form in the Atlantic this season.

POSTED AT 3 p.m

Tropical Storm Fay crossed over Haiti on Saturday morning and continues toward Cuba. The 11 a.m. forecast by the National Hurricane Center puts Fay at hurricane strength of 80 mph only 16 miles from Naples on Tuesday morning. The forecast track has shifted eastward since earlier forecasts.

At 11 a.m., The center of Tropical Storm Fay was located near latitude 19.0 north, longitude 73.7 west.

The latest forecast track brings the storm 16 miles southwest of Naples, at 11 a.m. on Tuesday. Hurricane Charley was on a similar track in 2004 when it veered ashore in Southwest Florida and caused extensive damage.

While experts say it is too early to accurately predict the storm's path, current computer models shifted somewhat to the west of South Florida earlier today. As of 11 a.m., they've come back to put Naples in the spotlight. Four now aim at Southwest Florida, while one remains into the Atlantic off the east coast and two remain west of Florida.

The National Hurricane Center's "discussion" report notes that conditions are favorable for Fay to strengthen as it approached Florida after hitting Cuba.

The National Hurricane Center in Miami says Fay could weaken slightly Saturday morning. But the storm could regain strength, especially as it travels over warm water. One comment from NHC forecasters is the amount of time Fay is overland. A longer time frame will mean a weaker storm, while an earlier exit will bring a stronger storm off Florida.

A tropical storm warning has been issued for parts of the Dominican Republic, Haiti, Cuba, the Bahamas, and the Turks and Caicos Islands.

Fay is heading toward the west at about 14 mph. As of 5 a.m. EDT, maximum sustained winds were 45 mph with some higher gusting.

It is the sixth storm to form in the Atlantic this season. Forecasters say the storm could make its way toward southern Florida and the Florida Keys.

Earlier:

The AccuWeather.com Hurricane Center reports the interaction of the tropical low with the islands of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola is slowing its development. However, the system could intensify this weekend before closing in on Florida by early next week.

The low today remains a disorganized rainmaker as it moves across Puerto Rico and the island of Hispaniola. Over the next 12 to 24 hours, the low will pummel the islands with heavy rain and strong winds that could spark life-threatening flooding and landslides.

The poorly defined center of the storm will be over the Bahamas island chain on Saturday, with the rain and wind spreading across the Bahamas and Cuba on Sunday.

According to Expert Senior Meteorologist Bernie Rayno, the low could "quickly spin up as it moves away from the mountainous islands and over an area of warm water and reduced wind shear." The lower terrain in the Bahamas will increase the potential for development.

The question remains, where will this developing system go? Expert Senior Meteorologist Dan Kottlowski says, "The options are wide open as long as the system remains unorganized."

Kottlowski says there are two factors that will influence where the system goes - the forward speed of the system and a building area of high pressure over the southeastern U.S. "The storm is moving slowly because of the interaction with the mountains of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola. A slow-moving system will track toward Florida or the eastern Gulf of Mexico. If the system picks up speed it could turn east of Florida and head toward the Carolinas."

All interests in the Caribbean, Bahamas and the southeastern United States should monitor the low through early next week for increased development and changes in its track.

Oil and energy traders are keeping a close eye on the system. If the system moves into the eastern Gulf of Mexico it could have a minor impact on oil and gas production in the Gulf. The majority of oil and gas operations are in the western Gulf.

Commodities traders will monitor the potential impact on agriculture in Florida. Expert Senior Meteorologist and AccuWeather.com agriculture expert Dale Mohler says the impact will depend on the track of the storm.

"I am fairly confident that the system will not have an adverse effect on the primary citrus growing area in the middle of the state. In fact, the storm is much more likely to bring beneficial rain rather than damaging wind."

Mohler adds that if the storm stays along the east coast of Florida, tropical storm force winds could impact the Indian River citrus areas.

Federal forecasters last Thursday upgraded their outlook for this Atlantic hurricane season to include two more named storms than previously predicted.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration projects an 85 percent probability of an above-normal season — up from 65 percent in May.

In its August update, NOAA said there was a better than average chance of 14 to 18 named storms, seven to 10 hurricanes and three to six hurricanes of at least Category 3 strength, which would be top sustained winds of at least 111 mph.

So far this year, five named storms, including two hurricanes, have formed. The hurricane season ends Nov. 30.

In May, the federal outlook called for 12 to 16 named storms, six to nine hurricanes and two to five major ones. An average season has 11 named storms, six hurricanes and two major hurricanes.

Atmospheric and ocean conditions are ripe for an above-normal season, said Gerry Bell, the lead seasonal hurricane forecaster at NOAA's Climate Prediction Center in Camp Springs, Md.

"Some of these conditions include reduced wind shear, weaker trade winds, an active West African monsoon system, the winds coming off of Africa and warmer-than-average water in the Atlantic Ocean," Bell said.

Tropical Storm Arthur formed near the coast of Belize the day before the 2008 Atlantic hurricane season officially began June 1. It quickly made landfall at the Belize-Mexico border, and five people died in Belize amid the flooding caused by the storm.

The season's first hurricane, Bertha, reached Category 3 strength before slowly blustering past Bermuda last month as a weaker storm. Tropical Storm Cristobal dumped rain along the Carolinas' coastline late last month but did not make landfall.

Texas has been struck twice this season. Hurricane Dolly on July 23 slammed into the South Texas coast as a Category 2 storm with top sustained winds of at least 96 mph. The storm dumped more than a foot of rain in places. Tropical Storm Edouard came ashore Tuesday east of Galveston.

"Typically when you have strong activity during July, that's also a very strong indicator the remainder of the season will be above-normal," Bell said.

The peak months of hurricane season are August through October.

Noted hurricane researcher William Gray revised his Atlantic forecast on Tuesday, calling for 17 named storms, including nine hurricanes, this season. The former Colorado State University climatologist said five of the hurricanes will be major.

Gray's revised forecast includes hurricanes Bertha and Dolly. He had previously called for 15 named storms and eight hurricanes.

Comments

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something to be aware of...i'm glad NDN at least waited for a bit before putting this in the paper

#1 Posted by NeezDutz on August 15, 2008 at 1:14 p.m. (Suggest removal)

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/...
here you go rockford
Once the storm finally emerges and stays over the warm waters of the Bahamas or Florida Straits, the models expect it to intensify quickly into a hurricane, possibly a major hurricane.

#2 Posted by NeezDutz on August 15, 2008 at 2:05 p.m. (Suggest removal)

LOL and remember, upnorthers, it's really hard to get wind storm insurance on your newly purchaced forclosure home.

stock up on bleach and batteries! buy a generator before its too late!

#3 Posted by mimibuck on August 15, 2008 at 5:04 p.m. (Suggest removal)

cutthroat, there are hills in Marco, the old indian mounds. To be fair I don't think that is where I want to run to.
Advice, run to the gas station, b4 the panic sets in and the price goes up 30 cents a gallon.

#4 Posted by swampbuggy on August 15, 2008 at 8:18 p.m. (Suggest removal)

Everybody!
Quick!
Hitch a ride out of town on
America's new tanker:
The KC-45!

#5 Posted by bicoastal on August 15, 2008 at 8:35 p.m. (Suggest removal)

Better not postpone school...

#6 Posted by Kira on August 15, 2008 at 9:13 p.m. (Suggest removal)

I am sure this community would be HAPPY to stick about "6" people from ROCKFORD, ILL. on Indian Hill on Marco... Let me see... Maybe sometime around MONDAY NIGHT

#7 Posted by HOMEBOY2 on August 15, 2008 at 9:53 p.m. (Suggest removal)

Kira,

A hurricane might be on its way to SWFLA and you are worried about a late start at school? Give me a break.

#8 Posted by Sanity on August 15, 2008 at 10:27 p.m. (Suggest removal)

Normally, I would be joking with all of U.

I would say something sarcastic:

Would U like some ice cream, with that cone of doom? Chocolate? Vanilla? Mint Chocolate Chip?
No, make that a DOUBLE SCOOP of mint chocolate chip for my comfort food, too.

Instead, I'll be trekking out to the store to stock up for another storm here, no matter what it turns out 2 B.

So let's see:

Ice cream ~ check mint choc. 2 be exact
Lots of WATER ~ check
Ice for my beer cooler and food ~ check
EZ dry foods to munch as I'm waiting for my electricity to return ~ check
batteries for my flashlight because I'm scared of the dark ~check
weather radio ~check
noisy generator and gas, if I can find my generator in my unorganized garage~check
full tank in my car ~ check
storm shutters ~check
dog safe and sound ~check
more comfort food ~check
propane for my barbie ~check

sixwhitehorses, the weatherman will hopefully tell us this storm will GO AWAY!

For now...i'll go get some supplies for the storm, thank U.

#9 Posted by beetlejuice on August 16, 2008 at 12:49 a.m. (Suggest removal)

More than likely if we have torrential rain and wind there will be no school. Would you want your kid standing at a bus stop getting soaked. Thats what Hurricane make up days are for.

#10 Posted by chief04 on August 16, 2008 at 7:09 a.m. (Suggest removal)

If it stays on the current track, my bet is that school is postponed until Wed. Of course, many parents think school starts Monday - Thank you Wink news!

#11 Posted by teachurkids on August 16, 2008 at 8:36 a.m. (Suggest removal)

Hey beetle, don't forget the Monavie!!!

#12 Posted by indigodragonfly on August 16, 2008 at 8:51 a.m. (Suggest removal)

Don't listen to any media until Wednesday.Instead,beginning Monday,stand in your driveway,wet your finger ,hold it straight up.If the tip blows off,it's a hurricane.Then you will know for sure.If it makes you feel any better, take a flashlight and some toilet paper with you.

#13 Posted by Ivegotwood on August 16, 2008 at 8:51 a.m. (Suggest removal)

Beetlejuice, you cracked me up. or is it LMAO. We all do exactly what you described. And the best flavor of ice cream in the world is choc. chip mint

#14 Posted by allUpoliticalsockpuppets on August 16, 2008 at 8:56 a.m. (Suggest removal)

I have actual Circle of Sisters documents. YES I DO.

AND I have almost $7 in my cup of donations.

Also, I bought 3 jugs of water and 1 pack of candles and 2 cases of miller lite for Fay.

#15 Posted by emmylopez on August 16, 2008 at 9:30 a.m. (Suggest removal)

Ill donate a dollar Emmy.
Will you take a check?
---
We could use the rain, if it hits it hits... be prepared just in case...you know how the weather forecasters are here...

#16 Posted by firefightermedic27 on August 16, 2008 at 9:53 a.m. (Suggest removal)

I have a friend of a friend’s cousin's uncle's wife that belongs. I got emailed some newsletters and testimonials.

Cracker, I'm saving that $7 for my initial fee. I'm not going to spend it on frivolous things like beer. I have plenty in my fridge ready for Fay already.

Did any of you inquire about the blogger project the NDN is doing?

#17 Posted by emmylopez on August 16, 2008 at 10:38 a.m. (Suggest removal)

I guess the NDN is doing a project on all the bloggers. You have to sign up for it. I can't find it again on the site. NDN? Do you want to provide that info again somewhere?

#18 Posted by emmylopez on August 16, 2008 at 11:12 a.m. (Suggest removal)

Are there any illegals left to put up my shutters?
I'm off to get my ice cream....

#19 Posted by theabyss on August 16, 2008 at 11:18 a.m. (Suggest removal)

Seriously, I'm all in for a NDN blogger party at my house. I live near the stabbing that occurred yesterday. We could play chicken at the Site station with knives!!

#20 Posted by emmylopez on August 16, 2008 at 11:31 a.m. (Suggest removal)

Mmm BBQ chicken. That sounds good. We need someone to bring jello shots.

#21 Posted by emmylopez on August 16, 2008 at 11:39 a.m. (Suggest removal)

Jello Shots are easy. You replace the cold water portion of the jello recipe with alcohol.

Tequila? I don't know about that. That’s dangerous territory there.

#22 Posted by emmylopez on August 16, 2008 at 11:53 a.m. (Suggest removal)

Maybe we could get Jim to broadcast from the hurricane party DURING the hurricane!

#23 Posted by emmylopez on August 16, 2008 at 12:10 p.m. (Suggest removal)

i've lived through 6 or 7 of these now in the years i've lived here. Regardless of whether this is a Cat 1 or 2 hurricane when it gets here, if its a hurricane the smart ppl will prepare b/c even a storm of that strength can do some serious damage if ur not ready for it...
That all being said-where/when are the hurricane parties^_^

#24 Posted by wordofmouth on August 16, 2008 at 12:13 p.m. (Suggest removal)

If we can't get Jim to come, maybe we could get that hot weather girl from fox 4?

#25 Posted by emmylopez on August 16, 2008 at 12:36 p.m. (Suggest removal)

Emmylopez, I'm chipping in $5.00 for your collection cup. Please buy some Yuengling traditional lager instead of the miller light, if you want the light buy the yuengling light.

I'm bringing some P.F. Changs mongolian beef and P.F. Changs lettuce wraps, also I'll stop at the Sushi Thai and pick us up some pad thai.

So what time is the party

#26 Posted by allUpoliticalsockpuppets on August 16, 2008 at 1:02 p.m. (Suggest removal)

Thanks redrover, I forgot I am also bringing the chocolate tower cake w/raspberry sauce they have at P.F.'s ooohh so yummy....

Did Jim r.s.v.p yet???

#27 Posted by allUpoliticalsockpuppets on August 16, 2008 at 1:12 p.m. (Suggest removal)

sockpuppet...I am a Yuengling girl myself, but I prefer it on draft. Maybe I could get a keg.

#28 Posted by emmylopez on August 16, 2008 at 1:15 p.m. (Suggest removal)

Get the keg emmy.....I also like Yuengling, but I like their Premium, not Lager.
You got my $5. Is the mint ice cream green or white? I'll bring some black raspberry icecream i brought back from Pa.

#29 Posted by eaglebeak on August 16, 2008 at 1:23 p.m. (Suggest removal)

Yes, maybe a vaiety of Yuengling for the crew.
Pretty soon the donation cup will be full. redrover If you like a really rich chocolate cake, Sweetbays has got a choco. destination cake that is awesome, a few bites and you go into a choco. coma

#30 Posted by allUpoliticalsockpuppets on August 16, 2008 at 1:26 p.m. (Suggest removal)

Breyers choc. chip mint, the white ice cream

#31 Posted by allUpoliticalsockpuppets on August 16, 2008 at 1:28 p.m. (Suggest removal)

Hey, CTI, CTL, RFGrad and Beetle are u coming to the party????

#32 Posted by allUpoliticalsockpuppets on August 16, 2008 at 1:32 p.m. (Suggest removal)

Do we really want rockfordgrad at our party?

#33 Posted by emmylopez on August 16, 2008 at 1:36 p.m. (Suggest removal)

I'm not sure? maybe he's nice in person. He's part of our bloggers world, I figured we couldnt be rude and not invite him.

Rockfordgrad are u nice in person?

#34 Posted by allUpoliticalsockpuppets on August 16, 2008 at 1:42 p.m. (Suggest removal)

#35 Posted by emmylopez on August 16, 2008 at 1:47 p.m. (Suggest removal)

Hey, does anyone know where Ecoterror went off to. Haven't seen him post in a while???

#36 Posted by allUpoliticalsockpuppets on August 16, 2008 at 1:49 p.m. (Suggest removal)

I think we need something like this once a month. That way we all still get along.

Yes, I do take checks. Although I'll need a photo ID.

#37 Posted by emmylopez on August 16, 2008 at 1:58 p.m. (Suggest removal)

We can use my generator to supply elec.to chinese lantern night lights. I'll supply the extension cords.

#38 Posted by eaglebeak on August 16, 2008 at 2 p.m. (Suggest removal)

I dont recognize him w/his new name, the comments are not the same. I miss his insight, his wit, humor and even miss his sarcasm a little.
why did he change his name? to protect the innocent?

#39 Posted by allUpoliticalsockpuppets on August 16, 2008 at 2:03 p.m. (Suggest removal)

woah.

#40 Posted by emmylopez on August 16, 2008 at 2:06 p.m. (Suggest removal)

Hey emmylopez any relation to George Lopez, maybe he can come and provide the comedy????
No reply from RFGrad yet huh? I dont think he's coming.

#41 Posted by allUpoliticalsockpuppets on August 16, 2008 at 2:11 p.m. (Suggest removal)

No, no relation to George Lopez.

#42 Posted by emmylopez on August 16, 2008 at 2:16 p.m. (Suggest removal)

Aahh, saes que, that's O.K. I sure we'll have plenty to laugh about..

#43 Posted by allUpoliticalsockpuppets on August 16, 2008 at 2:22 p.m. (Suggest removal)

I'll see what the mall fountain has in way of donations....

#44 Posted by eaglebeak on August 16, 2008 at 2:27 p.m. (Suggest removal)

eaglebeak, make sure the citizen on patrol and the mall security officer are not around. We dont want to have to blog about you next week.

#45 Posted by allUpoliticalsockpuppets on August 16, 2008 at 2:31 p.m. (Suggest removal)

It'll be ok, see, I also got these neat designer sunglasses and designer scarf. No one will recognize me! Tee Hee...
In all honesty though, I'm so darned honest I can't even steal a glance!

#46 Posted by eaglebeak on August 16, 2008 at 2:38 p.m. (Suggest removal)

Good for you eaglebeak, that is the only way to be.
maybe you can get the designer sunglasses and scarf from the German lady that was selling the fakes

#47 Posted by allUpoliticalsockpuppets on August 16, 2008 at 2:45 p.m. (Suggest removal)

Eco was blogging on one of the articles a week or two ago.

Hey Emmy, having a dog with a face like that will get you everywhere...where do I send my donation??

#48 Posted by mikesgirl on August 16, 2008 at 2:53 p.m. (Suggest removal)

Hey emmy, I love your doggie. Is your family coming to the party??? they look like a cool gang?
Send the NDN the picture of your dog and the cup and they can publish it and maybe we can get a collection going...

#49 Posted by allUpoliticalsockpuppets on August 16, 2008 at 3 p.m. (Suggest removal)

Aww thanks! I will tell Nena that she has fans, she'll be thrilled.

#50 Posted by emmylopez on August 16, 2008 at 3:03 p.m. (Suggest removal)

I found the blogger project link.

http://www.naplesnews.com/blogger-por...

#51 Posted by emmylopez on August 16, 2008 at 3:06 p.m. (Suggest removal)

You all better have your guns and ammo ready for the third world looters that will surely be in your neighborhood looking for what ever they can steal! I am serious!

#52 Posted by KR on August 16, 2008 at 3:09 p.m. (Suggest removal)

You mean I might loose power and I have to prepare, How will I keep in touch with my blogger friends and how can I concentrate on preprations with this party planning going on. Let me prioritize.... Oh I guess I'd better go spend some money on supplies.
#93 sixwhitehorses
Monday might be to late to close on your realestate purchase, you can't get homeowners ins. if the hurricane is in the box. You'd better close today!

#53 Posted by allUpoliticalsockpuppets on August 16, 2008 at 3:23 p.m. (Suggest removal)

Am I invited?? It would be interesting to meet some of you. I don't post very much, but I've followed the comments for some time now :)

#54 Posted by UnderscoreUnderscore on August 16, 2008 at 3:40 p.m. (Suggest removal)

See Eco, you ARE loved!

#55 Posted by mikesgirl on August 16, 2008 at 3:42 p.m. (Suggest removal)

Eco. your back...come to the party, go incognito

#56 Posted by allUpoliticalsockpuppets on August 16, 2008 at 3:43 p.m. (Suggest removal)

underscore, your invited. Emmy do we have room for 1 more.

#57 Posted by allUpoliticalsockpuppets on August 16, 2008 at 3:47 p.m. (Suggest removal)

Hey I did forget about Ironside, we can all talk politics at the party. or not!

#58 Posted by allUpoliticalsockpuppets on August 16, 2008 at 3:50 p.m. (Suggest removal)

Politics isn't a good topic at drinkin' parties! ;)

#59 Posted by Ironside on August 16, 2008 at 3:53 p.m. (Suggest removal)

Emmy, french bulldogs???

#60 Posted by mikesgirl on August 16, 2008 at 3:54 p.m. (Suggest removal)

Besides everybody already knows I tend to lean slightly to the left.

#61 Posted by Ironside on August 16, 2008 at 3:55 p.m. (Suggest removal)

Ironside you heard us. R U coming? I'm a bit of a lefty to. Your right I guess politics and drinks dont mix.

#62 Posted by allUpoliticalsockpuppets on August 16, 2008 at 4:01 p.m. (Suggest removal)

Where is BlueTongueVole???? He is definitely needed at the party. And Junkyard......where are they?

#63 Posted by eaglebeak on August 16, 2008 at 4:03 p.m. (Suggest removal)

Sweet! Do we bring the kids?
I will bring the illegal taco salad.

#64 Posted by UnderscoreUnderscore on August 16, 2008 at 4:03 p.m. (Suggest removal)

We have plenty of room for everyone. Ya know who I'd like to see do some shots together is boulderbilly and gonefishin. Now THAT would make a party!

Yes, Mikesgirl..I have 2 frenchies.

#65 Posted by emmylopez on August 16, 2008 at 4:04 p.m. (Suggest removal)

All I've seen for an address is "near the Site station." Doesn't that cover quite a bit of turf? Yeah, I might stop by. I think it could be cool.

#66 Posted by Ironside on August 16, 2008 at 4:05 p.m. (Suggest removal)

#104 Naplescracker..yes I think so. The guy thats doing it from the NDN emailed me and said it should be fun, but from what I gathered he's having a hard time getting people to sign up.

#67 Posted by emmylopez on August 16, 2008 at 4:05 p.m. (Suggest removal)

Bluetonguevole where are you? Hey eco that was you selling the goats. dude you were asking to much or I would of bought one from you, I wouldnt have to pay to keep my lawn mowed.

#68 Posted by allUpoliticalsockpuppets on August 16, 2008 at 4:29 p.m. (Suggest removal)

can i crash the party? i'll bring some tunes.

Riders On The Storm

Riders on the storm
Riders on the storm
Into this house we're born
Into this world we're thrown
Like a dog without a bone
An actor out alone
Riders on the storm

The Doors

#69 Posted by mimibuck on August 16, 2008 at 4:56 p.m. (Suggest removal)

Darn, I am so bummed that I missed the party planning. I would have hosted it. Firehauck LOVES when I have parties!!!

#70 Posted by BarneyFifesWife on August 16, 2008 at 4:58 p.m. (Suggest removal)

Okay folks. I'll check back later..I have some things to do. Imagine that. Life beckons.

#71 Posted by emmylopez on August 16, 2008 at 5 p.m. (Suggest removal)

WOW! This is bringing back all those circular memories of the Circle of Sisters. U all are so beautiful...I'm gonna cry.

*sniff*

This is a cone...so I'm not sure we can go around in circles, although I hope this hurricane circles around another state far away from FL.

Better yet, it should just go away as I LOAD UP ON WATER, and eat my mint choco chip. THE BEST IS BRYER's nuked in the micro for 20 seconds to soften it.

Publix is loving the business....the aisles were clear of water today.

I had to get the distilled stuff...and I love the Spring water...it's much more natural...with some added plastic taste mixed in. YUM.

#72 Posted by beetlejuice on August 16, 2008 at 5:03 p.m. (Suggest removal)

Baby Bash - Bubbalicious

You keep it emmylicious
Girl and thas what's up
Your handling yo business
Girl and thas what's up
You know that u can take it
Girl and thas what's up
Supa dupa fly
Baby Girl, you so grown
Bangin' cold flavor
Thas some cold Mint Chip
Mah friends lay low on da
Next episode
We havin' some of trouble
When we bubble
Girl, let da game flow

#73 Posted by mimibuck on August 16, 2008 at 5:18 p.m. (Suggest removal)

beetle...and my husband thought I was the only one who nukes their ice cream!!!!

#74 Posted by eaglebeak on August 16, 2008 at 5:19 p.m. (Suggest removal)

All I want from the hurricane is a little surf... Waste to shoulder high! :)

I'm gettin' too old for the big waves! :\

#75 Posted by Ironside on August 16, 2008 at 5:21 p.m. (Suggest removal)

Beetle and eaglebeak the best way to eat the Breyers choc. chip mint or any other flavor is put a little milk in it. makes it smooth and creamy

#76 Posted by allUpoliticalsockpuppets on August 16, 2008 at 5:27 p.m. (Suggest removal)

CTI....but but but....!

#77 Posted by eaglebeak on August 16, 2008 at 5:35 p.m. (Suggest removal)

where is chincieone, sandandsurf, magnum50 and ravenhawk? No no not ravenhawk she cursed everyone on one of her blogs yesterday, something to the affect of spirits of darkness hauting dreams and evil things like that. I dont want any bones thrown around this party or heebie geebie stuff.

#78 Posted by allUpoliticalsockpuppets on August 16, 2008 at 5:35 p.m. (Suggest removal)

TO: NDN staff: you need to intervene

This is YOUR lead article, and you are allowing the "comments" (over 100 already) to become a "chat" room for the usual babble people

This happens not infrequently

#79 Posted by enufenuf on August 16, 2008 at 5:37 p.m. (Suggest removal)

ya know the COS thread went over 720. untill Jim gives us more news of Fay's hard right turn over Cuba we'll never make it.

#80 Posted by mimibuck on August 16, 2008 at 5:41 p.m. (Suggest removal)

enufenuf, in case you didn't notice, you also changed the subject!LOL

#81 Posted by mimibuck on August 16, 2008 at 5:45 p.m. (Suggest removal)

enufenuf, R U the citizen that told the mall security that the guy was stealing .42 cents from the mall fountain???????

#82 Posted by allUpoliticalsockpuppets on August 16, 2008 at 6:01 p.m. (Suggest removal)

Good luck everyone. I hope Fay goes into the gulf and leaves south florida alone.

Y'all are a hoot, I like your attitude about the storm.

Chocolate Mint ice cream is the best. Has anyone tried Skinny Cow choc-mint ice cream sandwiches? Amazingly good.

#83 Posted by miamiqueen on August 16, 2008 at 6:06 p.m. (Suggest removal)

well as of 6:10 8/16 jim is still saying that Fay is comming to kill us all. the party is still on!

#84 Posted by mimibuck on August 16, 2008 at 6:11 p.m. (Suggest removal)

Has RFGrad accepted our invitation to the party yet.

#85 Posted by allUpoliticalsockpuppets on August 16, 2008 at 6:22 p.m. (Suggest removal)

Been in Naples for 20 years.

New Orleans for 12 years before that.

So that is 32 years on the Gulf.

Call me when it become a category 4 or 5

Otherwise don't waste my time !!!!!!!!!

#86 Posted by nightranger on August 16, 2008 at 6:36 p.m. (Suggest removal)

LMAO!

#87 Posted by yorkie on August 16, 2008 at 6:37 p.m. (Suggest removal)

NDN.... Quick! Hurry! There are people having FUN on your web site!

#88 Posted by eaglebeak on August 16, 2008 at 6:43 p.m. (Suggest removal)

Mimi: That was priceless.

Cabbagepalm: I'm sure the green maides will come.

enuf: You're totally kidding right?

Capecodder: A shot luge?! You're invited to ALL my parties!

#89 Posted by emmylopez on August 16, 2008 at 6:49 p.m. (Suggest removal)

Ssshhhhhh eaglebeak they might heeear you.

#90 Posted by allUpoliticalsockpuppets on August 16, 2008 at 6:55 p.m. (Suggest removal)

Has anyone heard from mothernature?

#91 Posted by allUpoliticalsockpuppets on August 16, 2008 at 6:59 p.m. (Suggest removal)

enufenuf is a traditional party pooper.

Every hurricane party has a pooper, that's why we invited U.

Party pooper!

Party pooper!

LOL ice cream lovers, singers, beer drinkers, perfect softened ice cream nukers,redrovers, and funny rangers who lived on the Gulf too long.

OOooh this gives me a taste for a root beer float.

I better put some root beers in my hurricans supplies kit.

Oh yes, and the darned candles.

WHERE THE HECK ARE THOSE nasty half-melted CANDLES?

#92 Posted by beetlejuice on August 16, 2008 at 7:42 p.m. (Suggest removal)

I used to hang out around Indian Hill on Marco, many years ago, lots of indian graves there. Never could figure out how them people could build and buy homes on top of an entire Indian burial ground. I can imagine some things that might be happening in some of those houses, eeeh gads!

#93 Posted by rayroman on August 16, 2008 at 7:48 p.m. (Suggest removal)

Is this storm going to effect the first day of school on Tuesday??

#94 Posted by MrMeToo on August 16, 2008 at 7:51 p.m. (Suggest removal)

No plastic surgery for Nena, rover. That is just her "Ohmygod, shes taking pictures of me again" look.

#95 Posted by emmylopez on August 16, 2008 at 7:53 p.m. (Suggest removal)

Why do people use candles when the electric goes off?? With all the modern gadgets out there now wouldn't tap lights be safer & more useful then a tiny flame.

#96 Posted by MrMeToo on August 16, 2008 at 7:54 p.m. (Suggest removal)

JYD!! Yay! I'll get some whiskey for you at the party!

#97 Posted by emmylopez on August 16, 2008 at 8:06 p.m. (Suggest removal)

redrover,redrover, you didn't even invite me to a piece of cake??? just kidding glad you enojoyed..
did you have vanilla ice cream with or a nice cold glass of milk. oh did you get the choc. genache, I think thats the spelling. and if you did was it good?????

#98 Posted by allUpoliticalsockpuppets on August 16, 2008 at 8:13 p.m. (Suggest removal)

redrover is a choc. junkie and i just had a mental picture of you stuffing big chunks in your mouth and then leaning on back on the seat with that glossy look in your eyes and sighing with relief from the fix.

#99 Posted by allUpoliticalsockpuppets on August 16, 2008 at 8:26 p.m. (Suggest removal)

Someone call the FWC and sidetrack them with a coyote tale. While they are busy I'll get us some food.

#100 Posted by swampbuggy on August 16, 2008 at 8:35 p.m. (Suggest removal)

I dont know anyone who doesnt have issues, but I did notice you were gone and now you came back talking about having to run and buy a choc. cake. I kinda figured. I have a piece of the choc. destination cake in my fridge for later aaahhh sweet relief.
Now I understand what happened on that prev. post #152 you were still on the high.

#101 Posted by allUpoliticalsockpuppets on August 16, 2008 at 8:40 p.m. (Suggest removal)

emmy, do you have a head count yet. We will definetly need more food and drinks. The list of invities is getting long

#102 Posted by allUpoliticalsockpuppets on August 16, 2008 at 8:51 p.m. (Suggest removal)

Has anyone else noticed that there is no news stories about any crime?? or recent news. the NDN mild mannered reporters have been to busy reading and enjoying our blogs to go out and find stories to report..

#103 Posted by allUpoliticalsockpuppets on August 16, 2008 at 8:59 p.m. (Suggest removal)

JYD, I dont want to drive to Ft. Myers in the morn.
I have eye fatigue, my neck hurts, my lower back hurts and my back end feels like I'm sitting on concrete blocks. I been sitting by this comp. all afternoon and evening.

#104 Posted by allUpoliticalsockpuppets on August 16, 2008 at 9:12 p.m. (Suggest removal)

you'll never make it red. might as well just watch it here with us.

#105 Posted by mimibuck on August 16, 2008 at 9:12 p.m. (Suggest removal)

Ya'll are 2 funny!

I'm laughing so hard I've wet my pants...again.

I drank too many root beer floats.

Speaking of wet, the weather prediction is changing a bit, so is Naples going to get a lot of rain or not?

Saw they reccomend bleach in your little kit. I spill bleach on EVERYTHING...ruins my clothes.

Did anyone bring chips and salsa to this hurricane party, I have a hankering.

Speaking of chips...AVOID MSG..there is a seventeen year old in Canada who determined that MSG is bad for your brain...she tested this theory on snails. I didn't know snails had brains, so this is news to me, too.

I really gotta stop hitting the root beer.

#106 Posted by beetlejuice on August 16, 2008 at 9:16 p.m. (Suggest removal)

JYD R U gonna be on TV as U are at the Surf Club in a hurricane?

I'm picturing a nice drink flying out of bar in hurricane force winds...JYD chasing after it on the beach.

ooooh the tragedy of the hurricane winds.

I M KIDDING JYD..just in case U R taking me anywhere remotely close to seriously...I'm making a funny....ha haha ha.
okay
No more root beers...ever.

#107 Posted by beetlejuice on August 16, 2008 at 9:20 p.m. (Suggest removal)

that would be a nice ride junk. $1 bloody marys are hard to believe.

#108 Posted by mimibuck on August 16, 2008 at 9:20 p.m. (Suggest removal)

Beetle I just remember I read your previous post about the root beer float and I will definetly go out tom. and buy some yummmmmmyyyyy. I'm also a bleach spiller. I end up using the clothes for rags. We can go and pick up the salsa & chips at Iguana Mia

#109 Posted by allUpoliticalsockpuppets on August 16, 2008 at 9:22 p.m. (Suggest removal)

Hey Red, do you not realize that the forecaster is in Denver and he'd better be ready for the cross winds. These guys are idiots, my shutters have been up since June 1st........ but I have my Ice Cream!!

#110 Posted by theabyss on August 16, 2008 at 9:27 p.m. (Suggest removal)

Allupoliticalsockpuppets,
Heck I was making about 50 Key lime pies to bring to the party...if I'm invited. I really love hurricane parties, had several of them in the Keys!!!

#111 Posted by mothernature on August 16, 2008 at 9:33 p.m. (Suggest removal)

beetle your #196 post just had me laughing so hard I couldn't breath and my side is starting to hurt.

#112 Posted by allUpoliticalsockpuppets on August 16, 2008 at 9:34 p.m. (Suggest removal)

Thou Shalt Not Covet mine Publix Chocolate Cake, nor thine neighbors chocolate cake, nor his Bad Ass coffee.

#113 Posted by UnderscoreUnderscore on August 16, 2008 at 9:34 p.m. (Suggest removal)

Hey mothernature your here. I love and I mean I love a good tart key lime pie. They sells some at a shop in the keys that are the best. OMG! ! ! ! I've gained 5 pds. just from talking about all the food today.

#114 Posted by allUpoliticalsockpuppets on August 16, 2008 at 9:43 p.m. (Suggest removal)

Redrover you know you ate every little crumb of that cake. I think I saw you parked at Publix with crumbs on the side of your mouth and all over your clothes, your eyes were rolled back and glossy and I think you were foaming at the mouth a little. Can we really say bad @$$. yippie

#115 Posted by allUpoliticalsockpuppets on August 16, 2008 at 9:53 p.m. (Suggest removal)

I need an ex-large cup of Bad@$$ coffee right now. Did the teacher really say we could say bad@$$

#116 Posted by allUpoliticalsockpuppets on August 16, 2008 at 10 p.m. (Suggest removal)

I know which place you are talking about in the Keys, but mine's better....

#117 Posted by mothernature on August 16, 2008 at 10:02 p.m. (Suggest removal)

Bad Ass Coffee. Bad Ass Coffee. I'm a Bad Ass Coffee. Wow, no censorship. OK I am now BAD ASS COFFEE, not theabyss..... Anyone wanna be BAD ASS COFFEE1, BAD ASS COFFEE2, BAD ASS COFFEE3... Any cake left???

#118 Posted by theabyss on August 16, 2008 at 10:04 p.m. (Suggest removal)

thats cruel junk as i don't have the player for youtube. couldn't just post a few of the lyrics?

#119 Posted by mimibuck on August 16, 2008 at 10:04 p.m. (Suggest removal)

Jimmy rocks, I'll be bad@$$ 1. Did beetle get cometose from the rootbeer floats. Good night redrover. I want some of mothernatures yummy to the tummy key lime pies.

#120 Posted by allUpoliticalsockpuppets on August 16, 2008 at 10:11 p.m. (Suggest removal)

By: Jimmy Buffett
1974
Squalls out on the gulf stream
Big storm's comin' soon
I passed out in my hammock
And God I slept 'til way past noon
Stood up and tried to focus
I hoped I wouldn't have to look far
I knew I could use a Bloody Mary
So I stumbled next door to the bar

buffet sucks, sorry.

#121 Posted by mimibuck on August 16, 2008 at 10:12 p.m. (Suggest removal)

Hey the censorship is back, I tried to write bad@&& the real word and I went to preview and my word was change to bottomfeeder. Dude we just got busted. dang, try and write it again.

#122 Posted by allUpoliticalsockpuppets on August 16, 2008 at 10:15 p.m. (Suggest removal)

Could it be that not censored when used as a proper noun, Bad vs. bad ??? My earlier post wasn't deleted...

So what do you guys think? Will we get some serious weather? Not that I want anyones property damaged, but I am sure the hard working people in these counties could use the work from some damage....

#123 Posted by UnderscoreUnderscore on August 16, 2008 at 10:22 p.m. (Suggest removal)

I hope it's not to bad. I do not want properties damaged either, but your right it would create a little work. It's still bad thought I think of the people that do not have homeowners ins. or money in the bank to get them through a few day if they have loss of employment due to the storm.

#124 Posted by allUpoliticalsockpuppets on August 16, 2008 at 10:29 p.m. (Suggest removal)

I love Bad bottom coffee....especially with my Key lime pie...

#125 Posted by mothernature on August 16, 2008 at 10:29 p.m. (Suggest removal)

I didn't catch it in time, I tried to write bottom and it changed it to bottom. I thought bottom feeders were fish. Let me try it this way...

Bad Ass coffee

#126 Posted by mothernature on August 16, 2008 at 10:31 p.m. (Suggest removal)

Hey, it works if it's a proper noun. Cool. Just don't try the A with dollar sign, dollar sign or it comes out bottom. That thar's just too funny. (Thanks to larry the cable guy).

#127 Posted by mothernature on August 16, 2008 at 10:33 p.m. (Suggest removal)

Bad Ass coffee, it worked ur right, git r done Larry

#128 Posted by allUpoliticalsockpuppets on August 16, 2008 at 10:39 p.m. (Suggest removal)

Nite Red....... Party will still be goin when you wake!! We have till Wednesday, then we have to prepare for the next one!!

#129 Posted by theabyss on August 16, 2008 at 10:42 p.m. (Suggest removal)

bad ass coffe and key lime pie

bad @$$ coffe and key lime pie

Bad Ass coffe and key lime pie

Lets see which one works

I cant believe I'm sitting here writing this. I need to get a life or a least borrow some one else for a while.

#130 Posted by allUpoliticalsockpuppets on August 16, 2008 at 10:43 p.m. (Suggest removal)

I think everyone is passing out one by one....may have to wait for tomorrow.
Hey allupoliticalsockpuppets, did you ever drink Baby's Coffee? It used to be roasted in the Keys, not it's in .... Miami...still southernmost coffee roaster though...

#131 Posted by mothernature on August 16, 2008 at 10:47 p.m. (Suggest removal)

Hey, do you know how to know when a hurricane really is going to hit?

#132 Posted by mothernature on August 16, 2008 at 10:50 p.m. (Suggest removal)

When the beer trucks quit running in the Keys and the mayor orders the bars to close.

Do you know how to know when a hurricane is NOT going to hit you?

When Jim Cantore is in your city. He's never within two hours of a hurricane...

#133 Posted by mothernature on August 16, 2008 at 10:51 p.m. (Suggest removal)

No cant say that I have, I do love a good fresh cup of coffee, I just realized I wrote coffee wrong three time. I must be getting tired. Where can I get some of Baby coffee?

#134 Posted by allUpoliticalsockpuppets on August 16, 2008 at 10:53 p.m. (Suggest removal)

Your right though about Jim Cantore I never thought of it but your right. Is he around now, cause we might be in for a real hurricane.

#135 Posted by allUpoliticalsockpuppets on August 16, 2008 at 10:58 p.m. (Suggest removal)

Wow..Redrover, Hi, Emmy, indi (et al)
Thanks for missing me.

I was out buying supplies for the 'cane party.
Funny I was on my way home but had to stop to buy 5 gallons of mint chocolate chip ice cream. I had a sudden craving which I could not explain.

The Jello shots sound a bit on the sweet side, I am sticking with near frozen beer for the first desert course. Well need hot fudge and whipping cream for the second course to go with the mint chocolate chip ice cream!

#136 Posted by BlueTonguedVole on August 16, 2008 at 11:07 p.m. (Suggest removal)

I think you can order it online...

The hubby heard that he might be coming to Fort Myers (I hope so).

I gotta get...too much stuff to get ready tomorrow...School starts Monday.

Looks like Marco and Fort Myers are pretty close to ground zero at the 11 p.m. advisory.

#137 Posted by mothernature on August 16, 2008 at 11:08 p.m. (Suggest removal)

I'm waiting to see Phelps break the record then I off to Laalaa land. Good night to all and to all a good night. Maybe this will carry over tomorrow.

#138 Posted by allUpoliticalsockpuppets on August 16, 2008 at 11:10 p.m. (Suggest removal)

Hey BTV you've missed all the fun. I askedabout you earlier. Mothernature let me know about the coffee, would really like to try it, I'm always looking for a good cup. I will be retiring now good night again.

#139 Posted by allUpoliticalsockpuppets on August 16, 2008 at 11:19 p.m. (Suggest removal)

allUpoliticalsockpuppets, thank you kindly. Where is JunkYardDog? Need him for a good party.

Wow. Watched Phelps get the 8 and stopped back in. Watching some track and field now on the small set. "Lightning" Bolt was awesome in the 100 meter.

I also enjoy Bad Ass coffee, double espresso, please.

Dang, where is that ice cream? It would go well with the coffee. I have some MRE's in case too. Hope they stay in the case, I would rather have Emmy's chicken.

Good night all.

#140 Posted by BlueTonguedVole on August 16, 2008 at 11:52 p.m. (Suggest removal)

Good night John Boy.....

#141 Posted by mothernature on August 16, 2008 at 11:55 p.m. (Suggest removal)

I filled the bathtub with rum.

My preparations are complete.

#142 Posted by jim09091 on August 17, 2008 at 12:29 a.m. (Suggest removal)

LMAO AT ALL OF YOU! too funny!!!

#143 Posted by FreshFace on August 17, 2008 at 12:54 a.m. (Suggest removal)

Mornin' red...I'll be on and off to the party today...Have to do some stuff. Many of you ate a lot of Key lime pies last night and I have to make more.

#144 Posted by mothernature on August 17, 2008 at 7:49 a.m. (Suggest removal)

Morning all! Weird dreams last night....skinny skinny marathon women chasing me to get my ice cream and pie!

#145 Posted by eaglebeak on August 17, 2008 at 8:01 a.m. (Suggest removal)

I heard she ate a couple of them.....oh well, maybe she'll be back later today. Stay safe all....I may not be back for a bit...but keep the hurricane party going...it's a nice change...

#146 Posted by mothernature on August 17, 2008 at 9:04 a.m. (Suggest removal)

I'm here, I've been up since a little after six.
Had to have bad @&& coffee first, And I was told I needed to go buy supplies. I will be back later dont eat all the choc. cake and ice cream before I get back.
TATA for now my friends.

#147 Posted by allUpoliticalsockpuppets on August 17, 2008 at 9:12 a.m. (Suggest removal)

I think y'all should go on over to the LTE page and invite some of those poor souls to join. They need to get out some. At the very least, ply them w