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Hurricane Ike, a Cat 4 storm, still a threat to South Florida
Hurricane Ike's forecast released at 11 p.m. Thursday by the National Hurricane Center in Miami.
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- Florida now out of TS Hanna's forecast path
- New Orleans mostly spared by Gustav
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More Hurricane 2008
- Weather alert: Inland frost advisory for SW Florida overnight
- Hundreds of FPL customers in Lee, Collier lose power for few hours
- PHOTOS: Manna Christian owners get more time to clean up Fay-flooded trailer park
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Forecasters say Ike is turning westward and remains an extremely dangerous Category 4 hurricane, the National Weather Service reports.
Ike is the third major hurricane of the Atlantic season, which runs from June 1 to Nov. 30.
At 11 p.m., the center of Hurricane Ike was located about 475 miles north-northeast of the Leeward Islands and about 755 miles east-northeast of Grand Turk Island, the weather service said.
Ike is moving toward the west near 14 mph. A turn toward the west-southwest is expected on Friday and this motion is expected to continue through Saturday, the weather service said.
On this track, the hurricane will continue to move over the open waters of the west-central Atlantic during the next couple of days.
Posted earlier:
By Thursday afternoon, Hurricane Ike had maximum sustained winds near 135 mph. It was centered 505 miles north-northeast of the Leeward Islands and forecasters said it could reach the Bahamas by late Sunday or Monday. It was moving toward the west-northwest at 14 mph.
Ike is the third major hurricane of the Atlantic season, which runs from June 1 to Nov. 30. The other two were Bertha and Gustav, which was blamed for 112 deaths in the Caribbean, including 76 in Haiti.
Tropical Storm Josephine follows behind, with maximum sustained winds near 45 mph and was moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph.
Leading the pack now is Tropical Storm Hanna, which roared along the edge of the Bahamas on Thursday ahead of a possible hurricane hit on the Carolinas, leaving behind at least 61 dead in Haiti.
Ike, a still-more-dangerous Category 4 storm, was advancing from the east.
Hanna was forecast to pass east of the Atlantic archipelago before striking along the coast of North or South Carolina by Saturday, but the U.S. National Hurricane Center in Miami said Hanna's sprawling bands of outer winds are likely to hit far sooner. Tropical storm force winds extended outward as far as 315 miles from the center.
Haitian authorities on Thursday blamed Hanna for 61 deaths, most due to flooding.
From 11 a.m. Thursday
Hurricane Ike continues to pack winds of 140 mph and remains "dangerous," according to the National Hurricane Center. Some weakening is expected and the storm is forecast to be in central Bahamas, possibly threatening south Florida, by Tuesday morning.
The latest forecast comes as the NHC updates with its 11 a.m. report.
From 5 a.m. Thursday
Southwest Florida remains in the "cone of probability" for Hurricane Ike and the 5 a.m. update from the National Hurricane Center puts the storm in the Bahamas on Tuesday morning as a major hurricane.
From 11 p.m., Sept. 3:
Forecasters say Hurricane Ike has strengthened to a dangerous Category 4 storm in the Atlantic with maximum sustained winds near 135 mph.
Earlier Wednesday, Ike became a Category 3 storm and the third major hurricane of the Atlantic season.
At 11 p.m., the center of Hurricane Ike was located about 610 miles northeast of the Leeward Islands, the National Weather Service reports.
Ike is moving toward the west-northwest near 17 mph and this general motion is expected to continue through early Thursday followed by a turn to the west on Thursday night and Friday. This will take Ike over the open waters of the west-central Atlantic during the next couple of days, the weather service said.
Forecasters still say it is still too early to determine what if any land areas might eventually be affected by Ike.
Meanwhile, tenacious Tropical Storm Hanna is heading toward the northwest. Forecasters say the weather is beginning to improve in the Turks and Caicos.
At 11 p.m. the center of Tropical Storm Hanna was about 160 miles east-southeast of San Salvador and about 355 miles east-southeast of Nassau in the Bahamas, the National Weather Service reports.
Hanna is moving toward the north-northwest near 13 mph. A general northwest motion is expected to continue during the next day or two with a gradual increase in forward speed.
On this track, the center of Hanna should be moving just east of the central and northwestern Bahamas during the next 24 to 36 hours.
Tropical Storm Josephine is moving westward over the eastern Atlantic, forecasters said.
At 11 p.m., the center of Tropical Storm Josephine was about 425 miles west of the southernmost Cape Verde Islands, the National Weather Service reports.
Josephine is moving toward the west near 12 mph and a west or west-northwestward motion is expected to continue for the next several days, the weather service said.
At 11 p.m.
Forecasters say Ike has become a dangerous Category 3 hurricane in the Atlantic with maximum sustained winds near 115 mph.
That makes Ike the third major hurricane of the Atlantic season, which has had five hurricanes total. Bertha and Gustav were the other major hurricanes.
At 8 p.m., the eye of Hurricane Ike was about 645 miles east-northeast of the Leeward Islands, the National Weather Service reports.
Ike is moving toward the west-northwest near 18 mph and this general motion is expected to continue tonight and early Thursday followed by a turn to the west on Thursday night and Friday. This would take Ike over the open waters of the west-central Atlantic during the next couple of days.
It is too early to say whether Ike might threaten land. Ike is behind Tropical Storm Hanna, which is battering Haiti, where it has killed 26 people. Forecasters say Hanna could turn back into a hurricane before hitting the southern coast of the U.S. this weekend.
Forecasters say Josephine, the tropical storm behind Ike, is weakening.
At 5 p.m.
Tropical Storm Ike gained hurricane strength this afternoon, with winds near 80 mph at the National Hurricane Center's 5 p.m. update. The storm is forecast to be on track near south Florida in the next five days, according to the NHC.
The majority of the computer track models used by the NHC to determine a storm's path reveals a forecast into the general vicinity of south Florida. Click here for weatherunderground's graphic showing all the forecast tracks.
From 2 p.m.:
Ike is forecast to gain strength to become a hurricane with winds approaching 110 mph, south of Florida and in the southern Bahamas on Monday morning. Reports from the National Hurricane Center say the storm should continue on a westerly path, but all of south Florida must monitor the progress of this storm.
At the 11 a.m. update from the NHC, the center of the storm was 740 miles east-northeast of the Leeward Islands. The storm had winds just below hurricane levels at 70 mph, according to the NHC.
From Tuesday, Sept. 2:
Tropical Storm Ike churned on a course to the Bahamas this morning (Tuesday), with winds expected to top 100 mph by the time it reaches the far eastern portion of the island chain on Sunday and then become a major hurricane as it moves t the west.
As of the 11 a.m. update by the National Hurricane Center, Ike was more than 1,000 miles east of the Leeward Islands. Now a tropical storm with winds of 60 mph, it is expected to spool up to hurricane strength on Thursday.
As of 11 p.m.:
At 11 p.m., the center of tropical storm Ike was about 1330 miles east of the Leeward Islands, the National Weather Service reports.
Ike is moving toward the west near 14 mph and a motion more toward the west-northwest is expected during the next 24 to 48 hours.
At 5 p.m.
Ike, the ninth tropical storm of the season, has formed over the Atlantic, the National Weather Service reports.
At 5 p.m., the center of the newly formed tropical storm was located about 1400 miles east of the Leeward Islands.
Ike is moving toward the west near 16 mph and this general motion between the west and west-northwest is expected to continue during the next 24 to 48 hours, the weather service said.
The storm's projected course late Monday would take it toward the Bahamas over the next several days, but the paths of storms often vary from predictions made several days out.
Forecasters expect the storm to reach hurricane strength in the next 36 hours over warm Atlantic waters.
Posted earlier
Tropical depression 9 has formed in the Atlantic and is expected to become a tropical storm today, according to the National Hurricane Center in Miami.
The new depression formed halfway between Africa and the Leeward Islands. At 11 a.m., the center of the depression was located near latitude 17.6 north and longitude 39.5 west, or about 1,470 miles east of the Leeward Islands.
The depression is moving toward the west near 16 mph. A general west to west-northwest track is expected during the next day or two. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph with higher gusts.
When the depression becomes a tropical storm, it will be named Ike. The five-day forecast predicts Tropical Storm Ike will become a hurricane by Thursday morning headed toward the Bahamas.
Posted earlier:
It's Labor Day, but the tropics are not taking a holiday in the Atlantic.
In addition to Hurricane Gustav in the Gulf and Tropical Storm Hanna, located about 90 miles north-northeast of the southeastern Bahamas, at least four other tropical systems are brewing, according to the National Hurricane Center in Miami.
Here is a rundown on the four unnamed systems:
■ Satellite imagery indicates that a tropical depression could be forming about halfway between Africa and the Lesser Antilles. If this trend continues, advisories will be initiated later Monday. This system is moving westward at about 15 mph.
■ A strong tropical wave has emerged off the west coast of Africa and is several hundred miles southeast off the Cape Verde Islands. The system is showing signs of organization and a tropical depression could form during the next couple of days as it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph.
■ An area of disturbed weather located about 250 miles east of the Leeward Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms, although surface pressures are low. Upper-level winds are not favorable for significant development of this system as it moves slowly westward.
■ An area of disturbed weather located about 700 miles east-southeast of Bermuda is producing a large area of cloudiness and thunderstorms. Development of this system, if any, will be slow to occur as it moves toward the northwest at 10 to 15 mph.
Comments
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Don't storms always brew up in the Atlantic?? But wait a minute, I think there is one starting in Arfica that will affect Naples. I have watch that one.
#1 Posted by suntan on September 1, 2008 at 10:35 a.m. (Suggest removal)
Some people are never happy. Complain when you are informed and complain if your are not informed. Take the information for what it is.. information. React to that information.. does not mean you have to OVER React! I for one wish to be informed of what is possibly coming my way and have the chance to choose to act or not act as seems fit. Why does everything have to be so over dramatized? Stop trying to get attention and hope that if it does come your way... you are a lucky one and not harmed.
#2 Posted by blessusall on September 1, 2008 at 12:39 p.m. (Suggest removal)
# 4 - I agree.
Childish postings from people with nothing better to do.
#3 Posted by Nplschick on September 1, 2008 at 3:04 p.m. (Suggest removal)
Agreed post #4. Hope for the best, expect and plan for the worst.
#4 Posted by Jadip811 on September 1, 2008 at 3:14 p.m. (Suggest removal)
D #9 looks like an insurance hike.
#5 Posted by almostdone on September 1, 2008 at 4:21 p.m. (Suggest removal)
I don't like the looks of this one. Sure seems to be heading in our general direction. Let's hope for change in direction.
#8 I agree, the way this hurricane season is going no one will be able to get insurance or it will be so expensive no one will be able to afford it.
#6 Posted by swfl_ff on September 1, 2008 at 5:36 p.m. (Suggest removal)
Are we in a time warp back to 2004-05?
#7 Posted by mothernature on September 1, 2008 at 5:43 p.m. (Suggest removal)
Perhaps if we ignore the complainers, they will just blow away (sorry for the pun.)
This season seems to be following the predictions of being quite active. I am signed up to get alerts from the NHC. My inbox is getting way too full for my taste, but I am doing just what Jadip811 suggested.
We got the last of the branches and fronds from Fay picked up and put out at the curb, finally today. We had a heck of a lot more debris than I first thought. Now we are in a cone again!
Even beyond Ike there is a wave that looks to be pretty strong. Some year.
#8 Posted by BlueTonguedVole on September 1, 2008 at 8:33 p.m. (Suggest removal)
I am starting to think we are mothernature. This is sure bringing back some bad memories.
#9 Posted by swfl_ff on September 1, 2008 at 8:35 p.m. (Suggest removal)
BTV, do you happen to know when they're going to collect the brush piles from Fay in GGE?
#10 Posted by erina1 on September 1, 2008 at 10:14 p.m. (Suggest removal)
It looks like its gonna hit us. Should I post the 'relaxation technique' again? :P
#11 Posted by Elle on September 2, 2008 at 12:38 a.m. (Suggest removal)
I have found wunderground.com to be the best site over all. It is very informative. It has all the different charts and maps including the charts of the computer models.
They also have links to the NHC discussion on each storm which does a decent job of explaining the activity of each storm.
Dr Jeff Masters has a great blog on that page also. He is great explaining things without all the hype.
I get amused on how the "cones of dome" seem to vary from source to source. Often times on the NHC and wunderground sites the cones will show one thing and the local weather will show something else. The locals try their best to keep our area in a cone as long as they possibly can to keep you watching I think.
#12 Posted by swfl_ff on September 2, 2008 at 8:36 a.m. (Suggest removal)
gone fishin and righties.
Today I got the same right wing "truth" email forward, from several people. Now I open the link from FISHIN, and it is again the same bogus email.
Are you all on drugs? Half a brain there? that you believe right wing forwards..all proven to be false by snopes?
Or is TRUTH, so slippery and variable in your world that an uncle who is alive does not exist?
Obama's uncle who was in WW2 was introduced at the Convention. But your email about "TRUTH" says he did not exist!
Wanna 'splain how you are screaming about TRUTH, and spreading unauthored proven snoped lies?
Are you all really such gullible sheeples?
Common Fishy and nojoice,
tell me how you post lies over and over under the guise of truth.
It is remarkably Orwellian.
#13 Posted by opnmind on September 2, 2008 at 6:54 p.m. (Suggest removal)
I would rather have some idea of what's happening instead of no news at all....but that's just me. I don't panic I prepare, maybe if we get a Katrina those that make fun will finally shut up. Oh.....wait they won't, they will complain because "they didn't know it was going to be that bad" Good grief!
#14 Posted by Typeone on September 3, 2008 at 1:47 p.m. (Suggest removal)
Good god people...if you don't like the news with all the weather reports THEN DON'T WATCH THEM. Watch TLC, TNT, Discovery Channel something else and stop complaining. Then when you get blown away, blame yourself.
Just prepare and be done with it!!!!
#15 Posted by cheetah143 on September 3, 2008 at 3:14 p.m. (Suggest removal)
Re: # 16. One comment directed at sixhorses: I did not say that all information found over the internet was suspect. I DID say I use a professional search to find credible and verifiable literature. After the net blossomed to accommodate all manner of "stuff"; junk information, myths and half truths online also grew. Much of which is "searchable" via typical engines and even metasearches is set via key words, metaheaders and paid ads and has little to do with legitimate scientific research. Junk in, junk out.
That's it six...no more responses to you. Call me "gullible", or whatever you choose, but as far as I am concerned: you don't exist. Hard to argue with yourself, sixwhitehorses, but you will surely find others to engage.
Enjoy your blogging.
#16 Posted by BlueTonguedVole on September 3, 2008 at 4:23 p.m. (Suggest removal)
I do not like IKE. Key West...pucker up...it's your turn.
#17 Posted by flahill on September 3, 2008 at 4:51 p.m. (Suggest removal)
#19 unless Obamas uncle was named Ike, what the h*ll are you talking about?
#18 Posted by swampbuggy on September 3, 2008 at 6:15 p.m. (Suggest removal)
What did we do before the internet, how did we b.tch & complain?? Guess the phone company used to get busy.. A credible threat is news, 6 days away with uncertainty is not what I want to see for a half hour every time I try to find out information from my local provider about my community. Less hype more factual reporting might do this city some good. Till then I am off to get some Mint Chip again......
#19 Posted by theabyss on September 3, 2008 at 8:31 p.m. (Suggest removal)
theabyss, I think we all need to go in together and celebrate with a mint chip festival after this season!
#20 Posted by BlueTonguedVole on September 3, 2008 at 8:46 p.m. (Suggest removal)
Clearly, this is Bush's fault. His lack of concern of global warming...er, climate change, has caused this.
But it is Obama's fault for allowing it to continue. He could lift a finger and stop this storm at any moment. If you are going to wait till you get elected to stop the ocean rising and heal the world that seems pretty selfish to me. I need Him now!
#21 Posted by Smark on September 3, 2008 at 8:56 p.m. (Suggest removal)
BTV,
get the root beer, I've got the Key lime pies, where's emmy and everyone else? Oh no, I wonder if we can beat our other hurricane party????? (sorry, been under the weather, pun intended, for the past several days).
#22 Posted by mothernature on September 3, 2008 at 9:05 p.m. (Suggest removal)
It's just another Hurricane, jeeeze. If you have lived here 30 or more years, and are not living on higher ground yet, hey, you will get flooded. Hurricanes come with Florida, have been doing so for thousands of years, it's not going to stop. Neither are the California fires and earthquakes, the floods across the mid west, the freezings, and ice an show in the northeast. Pick your pleasure and move there. My family is all up and down the east and west coasts of Florida, we aint going anywhere, we live here. Family has lived here for over 50 years, we are Floridians.
#23 Posted by rayroman on September 3, 2008 at 9:08 p.m. (Suggest removal)
Or when you get chocolate mint chip!...
Beetlejuice is probably looking for more root beer. (Quick hide it at least until we all get there.)
Emmy, wherefore art you? (being careful not to step on any Shakespearean toes.)
#24 Posted by BlueTonguedVole on September 3, 2008 at 10:04 p.m. (Suggest removal)
Ike is now a cat 3 already We may need some dry ice for the ice cream, if he heads our way.
#25 Posted by BlueTonguedVole on September 3, 2008 at 10:25 p.m. (Suggest removal)
BTV, nothing personal but dry ice? It's the 21st century, a generator will keep the ice cream nice and cold.
#26 Posted by swampbuggy on September 3, 2008 at 10:59 p.m. (Suggest removal)
PARTY ON mothernature..I've got the rootbeer....U, the keylime pie recipe from heaven...delightful BTW!
Bring it on Ike...I've got my gloves on, and I'll fight back with my freakin sand bags, rootbeer and keyline pies and BTV, all the power within me, funny swampbuggy, CTL, Rcokford idiot, and even swflff.
2 funny 2 see everybody party!
TEE HEE!
#27 Posted by beetlejuice on September 3, 2008 at 11:38 p.m. (Suggest removal)
sixwhitehorses can party hardy with me any day!
2 FUNNY!
THANX!
#28 Posted by beetlejuice on September 3, 2008 at 11:40 p.m. (Suggest removal)
Should it not be BYORB, Mint Chip and Key Lime Pie Mr/Mrs. Brooks... I think you have a party coming!!! I am off to SweetBay again.... Geeesh.. the things on has to do as a Floridian!!!
#29 Posted by theabyss on September 4, 2008 at 12:09 a.m. (Suggest removal)
Smark,
Please tell me you were being sarcastic in blaming Bush for this. Please relieve my fears that there are people out there stupid enough to believe Bush causes global warming.
#30 Posted by Sanity on September 4, 2008 at 7:29 a.m. (Suggest removal)
We're having another hurricane party? Darn I'll have to stock up, I drank the last of what I bought for faye.
#31 Posted by youreallcrazy on September 4, 2008 at 7:51 a.m. (Suggest removal)
Answer this question honestly please.
If we were living in the Bahamas right now would you still discount this?
People are going to die from this storm and what i see is "party". Man i am not saying we should freak out here but have some respect for the people that are going to be affected.
Godspeed guys, my prayers are them.
#32 Posted by NeezDutz on September 4, 2008 at 8:16 a.m. (Suggest removal)
Dear sixwhitehorses,
I have seen the light. You are right, I humbly apologize for the folly of my thoughts and past profession.
I have a site that you will appreciate sixwhitehorses: http://www.dhmo.org/
Perhaps you can help us spread the word of the dangers of dihydrogen monoxide? This substance is a killer and yet widely used. It is even used in organic gardening. I think you might want to share with others as well since you have done so much to share other information.
Take care from an enlightened Vole.
#33 Posted by BlueTonguedVole on September 4, 2008 at 9:08 a.m. (Suggest removal)
NeezDutz: the "party" is a great way to burn off energy in anticipation of a storm event.
It is virtual and does not ignore the risks to human life. We can't do much except hope this storm is influenced by upper level highs or troughs which could turn it away from where people live.
JunkYardDog and I were about the only fellows but we had fun during the last storm blog. The posts about food were enough to get me cooking (rare event) one of my favorite old comfort foods, pulled pork.
#34 Posted by BlueTonguedVole on September 4, 2008 at 9:14 a.m. (Suggest removal)
Hey Neez, you can't save the world from natural disasters... sh.t happens, lighten up and enjoy your life and stop worrying about how the Almighty does things and why.
#35 Posted by theabyss on September 4, 2008 at 9:17 a.m. (Suggest removal)
By the way if anyone ventures to the dhmo.org site, I suggest strongly that you read all the information connected to the table of contents (on the left) and then log in to get the press kit (the information on how to do this is provided). I hope NDN also considers visiting the link to the press kit. It could be important in the future if many do visit this site and do not fully explore it.
I have great admiration for the founder of this organization. I find him inspiring and to be a person with a similar philosophy as mine: although he has done more with his actions on this subject than I ever could have. After you explore the site, I hope you discover his message.
Tropical storms and hurricane might not be as powerful without dihydrogen monoxide as a source of energy.
#36 Posted by BlueTonguedVole on September 4, 2008 at 9:31 a.m. (Suggest removal)
I prepare before each hurricane season....I watch and listen to the warnings....I do what I can, but also understnad that if it's my time to go....I better PARTY before hand!
#37 Posted by eaglebeak on September 4, 2008 at 9:57 a.m. (Suggest removal)
As of right now the models on wunderground.com show this storm taking a northern turn eventually. It's just a matter of how soon and where it makes the turn. Some take it the same path as Hanna, some take it back out to sea and others take it further south toward Cuba first then north toward Florida's east coast.
Let's all hope that this thing turns sooner than later and goes out to sea where it will hurt no one.
#38 Posted by swfl_ff on September 4, 2008 at 10:13 a.m. (Suggest removal)
Actually without charm, not much would matter, and every bump is not a new state.
So did you retire from Dow?
#39 Posted by BlueTonguedVole on September 4, 2008 at 3:47 p.m. (Suggest removal)
I got umpteen bottles of wine.
I have one bottle of Dad's Root Beer in the fridge. Beetle, that's for you.
I have a recipe for German Chocolate Upside Down Cake. I've only made it once, but it's might tasty.
Also, Mom's been making this Broccoli Cornbread about once a month for Sunday dinner, and it is really yummy. Seems kind of odd at first, but pretty soon it starts to grow on ya.
I've got a brisket too. Takes about 1 1/2 hrs to cook.
Got plenty of food, count me in.
Please don't offer me ice cream though, I have a terrible allergy to it. MY hips just swell up like crazy when I eat it. Just keep it out of sight, sometimes I swell up just looking at it. haha
#40 Posted by mikesgirl on September 4, 2008 at 6:21 p.m. (Suggest removal)
Mikesgirl, count me in. That German Chocolate cake sounds awesome! Broccoli Cornbread, heck I love both now just throw some cheese on it and you got some of my favorites in one. We'll trade, name any of your favorite Cuban dishes and I'll make it along with adding to the booze pot. Here we go again, 56 comments and counting, let's beat Faye :)
#41 Posted by youreallcrazy on September 4, 2008 at 7:34 p.m. (Suggest removal)
In all seriousness I should tell my Dad to get the heck out of dodge. He purchased his house after Hurricane Andrew (heavily damaged at an awesome price) in Homestead, from looking at some of the models it seems to be taking the same path. This is not a storm to play with!
#42 Posted by youreallcrazy on September 4, 2008 at 8:23 p.m. (Suggest removal)
OK, we'll keep the Mint Chip out of reach but no cheating when we are not looking! Anything with chocolate is great, now did anyone get a head count of how many are attending so we can adjust the portions? I know Neez is out!
#43 Posted by theabyss on September 4, 2008 at 8:28 p.m. (Suggest removal)
Hey I just read on the Associated Press that they even have Hurricane Parties on the East Coast! Do you think they'd want any of us Westerners to attend??? C'Mon Hanna and Ike.... Josephine are you listening???
#44 Posted by theabyss on September 4, 2008 at 8:56 p.m. (Suggest removal)
Thanks mikesgirl, and I will enjoy the party as soon as I sandbag my back doors all over again!
#45 Posted by beetlejuice on September 4, 2008 at 11:57 p.m. (Suggest removal)
I'm dreading to see how the insurance companies are going to react this time around.
Oh we need to raise your rates, why? Because it is hurricane season and although no one has made a major claim, we need to hike your preiums X percent , just in case. Our profit margins are slim and we are in fear of going out of business from the expected claims.
What a scam the insurance companies run. Every year for the past few years companies try to jack the premiums up irregardless if you make a claim.
State Farm wanted to jack the rates up 47% last year, but yet there were no major storms last year.
#46 Posted by Jadip811 on September 5, 2008 at 4:50 a.m. (Suggest removal)
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